Truth value as magnitude of predictions

This article was originally published on my blog: https://blog.cerebralab.com/Truth_value_as_magnitude_of_predictions

The best way to discern truths from lies is to see if they have a probability and a margin of error attached to them.

The second best way to do so is to ask when the people holding those potential truths were able to bring them to bear to alter the course of the world.

Once you get past the silly phenomenological and metaphysical layers (i.e. “Do chairs exist ?” Style questions) the problem of…